Don't Play Blackjack

Executive turning away from blackjack table with cards and chips toward open path leading to strategic chess board and connected city skyline

If you play blackjack “by the book” or follow “conventional wisdom” for a while, you’ll waste a lot of time going up and down, mostly breaking even while slowly losing to the house edge (winning only 42.5% of hands). You might hit some wins, but human nature keeps you playing, and the longer you stay at the table, the more likely you are to lose money, along with losing that precious commodity of TIME.

In business, adhering to the normal rules, following conventional wisdom and/or sticking too rigidly to “best practices” can feel a lot like playing blackjack by the book. While it may seem safe to follow established guidelines, it often leads to stagnation: moving up and down without meaningful progress, and ultimately losing time and opportunity. Just like blackjack players, business leaders and entrepreneurs can get trapped in routines that don’t deliver big wins, leading to incremental wins or losses rather than breakthroughs.

In the book ” First, Break All the Rules”, the authors challenge this “play it safe” mentality by encouraging leaders to defy conventional wisdom, challenge the status quo, and think differently. Like in blackjack, where stepping outside the norm (such as counting cards) can tip the odds in your favor, constantly challenging the status quo in business keeps you agile and opens up immense financial upside. By rejecting the mindset of doing things “because that’s how it’s done”, you’re doing something more meaningful: pursuing innovation that drives real value and growth. The result is not just personal gratification but a sharper competitive edge, where you’re breaking out of mediocrity to create lasting impact and success.

However, in blackjack, when you “break the rules” by finding an advantage through counting cards, a polite casino worker in a suit will likely step in, try to intimidate you, and ask you to stop winning or leave.

So, my free advice is: skip the blackjack table and focus on disrupting your industry and always challenge “because that’s how it’s done”